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    March 25

    海外市場、週明け急反発の予感

    先週は再度投機資金が金融市場に流入し、商品市場も堅調な展開となった。ただし週末の入電はテクニカル的に利益確定売りが出易い価格帯であったため値を下げている(貴金属・穀物はMAを参照)。今後の見方としては高金利通貨などの堅調さを見るとリスクマネ-は材料さえあれば買いで入ってくると考えている。従って海外市場で見るとテクニカルでも好転している貴金属、エネルギ-、週足ベ-スで見たコ-ヒ-(ロンドンは既に日足で上値を伺う)の底入れ、天候相場の穀物(テクニカル上、日足では戻り売りにみえるが...)は月曜下げたところは売り場ではないと思われる。週明け(入電火曜)の海外(特にシカゴ)が上昇すれば買い乗せの場面。

    なおLME銅相場は在庫減少で上昇、中国の建設ラッシュでパイプ・ワイヤ-の需要が急増している。米国の住宅売り上げは前月比3.9%増と予想外の上昇となっていた。

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